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Monetarist & Chicago School

Money aggregates, predictable rules versus discretion, incentives, regulation, and the limits of activist macro policy.

Policy Analysis Apr 24, 2026

Chicago Antitrust, Robert Bork, and the Consumer Welfare Frame

How the University of Chicago’s law-and-economics movement reshaped U.S. competition policy: from structure-based fears of ‘bigness’ to a cost-benefit standard centered on price, output, and efficiency—and the backlash that label still provokes today.

Policy Analysis Apr 24, 2026

K-Percent Rules vs. the Real World: Monetary Rules, Discretion, and Reputation

From Milton Friedman’s fixed money-growth recipe to modern inflation targeting: why simple rules seduce theorists, why central banks bend them, and how “reputation” became the hidden variable in monetary policy.

Theory Apr 24, 2026

The Lucas Critique, Explained: When Policy Changes Break Your Favorite Model

Robert Lucas's famous argument in plain language: why estimated macro relationships may collapse when policymakers exploit them, and what 'rational expectations' changed about economic advice.

Theory Apr 24, 2026

The Natural Rate of Unemployment: Idea, Rhetoric, and Empirical Trouble

Friedman and Phelps’s challenge to a stable inflation–unemployment tradeoff reshaped macroeconomics—then NAIRU became a political football. A plain-language tour of the hypothesis, its uses, and why it keeps breaking in data.

Theory Apr 24, 2026

The Quantity Theory as an Organizing Principle: MV=PY, Seriously

How monetarists use the identity MV=PY to discipline stories about inflation, not to 'prove' a slogan—and why the equation is both trivial and deep.

Theory Apr 14, 2026

Becker's Human Capital: Insight, Controversy, and Legacy

Gary Becker's framework for treating education and training as economic investment transformed labor economics and public policy, but its critics argue it reduces human beings to assets on a balance sheet.

Theory Apr 10, 2026

The Permanent Income Hypothesis for Normal Humans

Milton Friedman's 1957 insight that people spend based on what they expect to earn over a lifetime, not what they earned last month, reshaped how economists think about consumption, saving, and fiscal policy.

Theory Apr 6, 2026

Friedman's 'Long and Variable Lags' and the Art of Central Banking

Milton Friedman warned that monetary policy operates with unpredictable delays, making fine-tuning the economy a fool's errand. That warning still haunts every central banker alive.

History Mar 18, 2026

From Monetarism to Inflation Targeting: What Actually Stuck?

Tracing the path from Friedman's money-supply rules to modern central banking reveals what the profession kept from Chicago, what it quietly dropped, and why the shift matters.

Theory Mar 12, 2026

The Quantity Theory as Organizing Principle: MV=PY, Seriously

How monetarists use the equation of exchange not as a slogan but as a disciplined framework for thinking about money, prices, and inflation across centuries of monetary history.

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